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Match forecasts
Predictions
Win, draw and loss probabilities for the coming matches, calculated from the Footiqra power ratings of both clubs. Model estimates, not betting advice.
- Favourite won
- 52%
- Matches checked
- 598
Next 7 days
77 matchesThursday 29 October
Friday 30 October
Ligue 1Preview
Forecast: Le Havre win 14%, draw 18%, PSG win 68%.
Ligue 1Preview
35% home25% draw40% awayForecast: Nice win 35%, draw 25%, Stade Rennais win 40%.
BundesligaPreview
41% home25% draw34% awayForecast: Elversberg win 41%, draw 25%, Mainz win 34%.
La LigaPreview
60% home21% draw19% awayForecast: Villarreal win 60%, draw 21%, Espanyol win 19%.
Ligue 1Preview
Forecast: Lille win 47%, draw 24%, RC Lens win 29%.
Primeira LigaPreview
18% home20% draw62% awayForecast: Casa Pia win 18%, draw 20%, Sporting CP win 62%.
Saturday 31 October
Premier LeaguePreview
50% home24% draw26% awayForecast: Chelsea win 50%, draw 24%, Man United win 26%.
La LigaPreview
Forecast: Levante win 26%, draw 24%, Atleti win 50%.
Serie APreview
Forecast: Bologna win 60%, draw 21%, Monza win 19%.
BundesligaPreview
45% home24% draw31% awayForecast: M'gladbach win 45%, draw 24%, SC Paderborn win 31%.
BundesligaPreview
33% home25% draw42% awayForecast: Schalke win 33%, draw 25%, RB Leipzig win 42%.
BundesligaPreview
Forecast: Augsburg win 43%, draw 25%, Freiburg win 32%.
BundesligaPreview
43% home25% draw32% awayForecast: Bremen win 43%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim win 32%.
BundesligaPreview
54% home23% draw23% awayForecast: Leverkusen win 54%, draw 23%, Stuttgart win 23%.
Premier LeaguePreview
55% home22% draw23% awayForecast: Man City win 55%, draw 22%, Brighton Hove win 23%.
Premier LeaguePreview
49% home24% draw27% awayForecast: Bournemouth win 49%, draw 24%, Leeds United win 27%.
Premier LeaguePreview
42% home25% draw33% awayForecast: Coventry City win 42%, draw 25%, Sunderland win 33%.
Premier LeaguePreview
50% home24% draw26% awayForecast: Hull City win 50%, draw 24%, Ipswich Town win 26%.
Premier LeaguePreview
55% home22% draw23% awayForecast: Brentford win 55%, draw 22%, Nottingham win 23%.
La LigaPreview
43% home25% draw32% awayForecast: Rayo Vallecano win 43%, draw 25%, Celta win 32%.
EredivisiePreview
Forecast: Feyenoord win 67%, draw 18%, Sittard win 15%.
Primeira LigaPreview
53% home23% draw24% awayForecast: Moreirense win 53%, draw 23%, Amadora win 24%.
Serie APreview
Forecast: Udinese win 23%, draw 22%, Roma win 55%.
Premier LeaguePreview
52% home23% draw25% awayForecast: Tottenham win 52%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace win 25%.
La LigaPreview
72% home16% draw12% awayForecast: Real Betis win 72%, draw 16%, Málaga win 12%.
BundesligaPreview
Forecast: Bayern win 59%, draw 21%, Dortmund win 20%.
EredivisiePreview
49% home24% draw27% awayForecast: Heerenveen win 49%, draw 24%, NEC win 27%.
EredivisiePreview
Forecast: PSV win 83%, draw 10%, Willem II win 7%.
Serie APreview
Forecast: Milan win 33%, draw 25%, Inter win 42%.
Ligue 1Preview
Forecast: Troyes win 42%, draw 25%, Le Mans win 33%.
EredivisiePreview
Forecast: Cambuur win 42%, draw 25%, Go Ahead win 33%.
EredivisiePreview
Forecast: Ajax win 54%, draw 23%, AZ win 23%.
Premier LeaguePreview
54% home23% draw23% awayForecast: Aston Villa win 54%, draw 23%, Fulham win 23%.
La LigaPreview
Forecast: Barça win 76%, draw 14%, Alavés win 10%.
Primeira LigaPreview
79% home13% draw8% awayForecast: Porto win 79%, draw 13%, Estoril Praia win 8%.
Sunday 1 November
EredivisiePreview
Forecast: Zwolle win 50%, draw 24%, Den Haag win 26%.
Serie APreview
80% home12% draw8% awayForecast: Como 1907 win 80%, draw 12%, Venezia FC win 8%.
La LigaPreview
41% home25% draw34% awayForecast: Getafe win 41%, draw 25%, Sevilla FC win 34%.
EredivisiePreview
Forecast: Excelsior win 30%, draw 24%, Twente win 46%.
EredivisiePreview
Forecast: Telstar win 36%, draw 25%, Utrecht win 39%.
Serie APreview
Forecast: Frosinone win 49%, draw 24%, Torino win 27%.
Serie APreview
Forecast: Lazio win 67%, draw 18%, Cagliari win 15%.
Ligue 1Preview
51% home23% draw26% awayForecast: Strasbourg win 51%, draw 23%, Auxerre win 26%.
BundesligaPreview
49% home24% draw27% awayForecast: Union Berlin win 49%, draw 24%, 1. FC Köln win 27%.
La LigaPreview
17% home19% draw64% awayForecast: Santander win 17%, draw 19%, Real Madrid win 64%.
Primeira LigaPreview
62% home20% draw18% awayForecast: Arouca win 62%, draw 20%, CD Nacional win 18%.
EredivisiePreview
Forecast: Groningen win 59%, draw 21%, Sparta win 20%.
Ligue 1Preview
66% home19% draw15% awayForecast: Olympique Lyon win 66%, draw 19%, Angers SCO win 15%.
Ligue 1Preview
Forecast: Paris FC win 43%, draw 25%, Monaco win 32%.
Premier LeaguePreview
Forecast: Liverpool win 34%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 41%.
BundesligaPreview
Forecast: Frankfurt win 49%, draw 24%, HSV win 27%.
Serie APreview
Forecast: Lecce win 45%, draw 25%, Genoa win 30%.
La LigaPreview
Forecast: Elche win 52%, draw 23%, Valencia win 25%.
Primeira LigaPreview
32% home25% draw43% awayForecast: Marítimo win 32%, draw 25%, Santa Clara win 43%.
Primeira LigaPreview
59% home21% draw20% awayForecast: Acad. Viseu win 59%, draw 21%, Rio Ave win 20%.
Serie APreview
Forecast: Juventus win 47%, draw 24%, Napoli win 29%.
Ligue 1Preview
Forecast: Marseille win 52%, draw 23%, Toulouse win 25%.
La LigaPreview
43% home25% draw32% awayForecast: Athletic win 43%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad win 32%.
Primeira LigaPreview
Forecast: Braga win 47%, draw 24%, Famalicão win 29%.
Monday 2 November
Serie APreview
48% home24% draw28% awayForecast: Sassuolo win 48%, draw 24%, Fiorentina win 28%.
Serie APreview
Forecast: Atalanta win 61%, draw 20%, Parma win 19%.
Ligue 1Preview
Forecast: Lorient win 52%, draw 23%, Brest win 25%.
Premier LeaguePreview
Forecast: Newcastle win 48%, draw 24%, Everton win 28%.
La LigaPreview
Forecast: Deportivo win 49%, draw 24%, Osasuna win 27%.
Primeira LigaPreview
72% home16% draw12% awayForecast: SL Benfica win 72%, draw 16%, Alverca win 12%.
Primeira LigaPreview
54% home23% draw23% awayForecast: Gil Vicente win 54%, draw 23%, Vitória SC win 23%.
Tuesday 3 November
Champions LeaguePreview
Forecast: Feyenoord win 35%, draw 25%, Inter win 40%.
Champions LeaguePreview
63% home20% draw17% awayForecast: Barça win 63%, draw 20%, Aston Villa win 17%.
Champions LeaguePreview
Forecast: Atleti win 41%, draw 25%, Bayern win 34%.
Champions LeaguePreview
24% home23% draw53% awayForecast: Villarreal win 24%, draw 23%, PSG win 53%.
Champions LeaguePreview
43% home25% draw32% awayForecast: Man United win 43%, draw 25%, Roma win 32%.
Wednesday 4 November
Champions LeaguePreview
24% home23% draw53% awayForecast: RB Leipzig win 24%, draw 23%, Man City win 53%.
Champions LeaguePreview
47% home24% draw29% awayForecast: Dortmund win 47%, draw 24%, Real Betis win 29%.
Champions LeaguePreview
Forecast: Porto win 54%, draw 23%, Napoli win 23%.
Champions LeaguePreview
Forecast: RC Lens win 44%, draw 25%, Como 1907 win 31%.
How the forecasts work
The rating difference between the two clubs, plus home advantage, gives each side an expected score. A draw is most likely between evenly matched sides and becomes rarer the bigger the gap. The draw curve was fitted to this season's results.
Checked against every rated match this season, with the ratings as they were before kick-off: the most likely outcome happened in 52% of 598 matches. Football is low scoring and draws are common, so even a good model is often wrong about a single match.
Matches against clubs outside the covered leagues are not forecast, because those clubs have no rating. Full methodology
Last updated · Data: football-data.org