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Premier League · 2026/27
Predicted final table
We played the remaining 300 matches 10,000 times with the Footiqra forecast model. Arsenal finish top in 52% of the simulations.
Simulated standings
Sorted by expected points| #Predicted final position, ordered by expected points. | TeamClick a club for its profile with results and fixtures. | TodayCurrent table position and points. | +/-ChangePlaces gained or lost from today's table position to the predicted final position. | PtsFinal ptsExpected points at the end of the season, averaged over all simulations. | TitleShare of simulations in which the club finishes first. | Top 4Share of simulations in which the club finishes in the top four. | Btm 3Bottom 3Share of simulations in which the club finishes in the bottom three. How many places mean relegation depends on the league. | Final position 1 to 20Each box is one final position, 1 on the left. The darker the box, the more likely that position. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | up 1 | 81 | 52% | · | |||
| 2 |  Man City | down 1 | 76 | 30% | <1% | |||
| 3 |  Brighton Hove | = | 66 | 7% | <1% | |||
| 4 |  Liverpool | = | 65 | 6% | 1% | |||
| 5 |  Aston Villa | up 4 | 56 | 1% | 4% | |||
| 6 |  Brentford | = | 55 | 1% | 5% | |||
| 7 |  Chelsea | down 2 | 55 | 1% | 5% | |||
| 8 |  Bournemouth | up 5 | 54 | 1% | 6% | |||
| 9 |  Leeds United | down 2 | 54 | 1% | 6% | |||
| 10 |  Newcastle | down 2 | 51 | <1% | 10% | |||
| 11 |  Everton | = | 49 | <1% | 13% | |||
| 12 |  Tottenham | up 2 | 46 | <1% | 18% | |||
| 13 |  Man United | up 3 | 46 | <1% | 19% | |||
| 14 |  Hull City | down 4 | 46 | <1% | 19% | |||
| 15 |  Fulham | = | 45 | <1% | 21% | |||
| 16 |  Ipswich Town | down 4 | 44 | <1% | 26% | |||
| 17 |  Nottingham | up 1 | 43 | <1% | 27% | |||
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | down 1 | 41 | <1% | 36% | |||
| 19 |  Sunderland | up 1 | 41 | <1% | 36% | |||
| 20 |  Coventry City | down 1 | 37 | <1% | 49% |
Today: current table position and points. Change: places gained or lost from today to the predicted final position (#), which is the order by expected points. Final pts: expected points at the end of the season. Title, top 4 and bottom 3: share of simulations in which the club finished there. These are plain table positions; how many places lead to Europe or relegation depends on the league's rules. The coloured strip shows how likely every final position is.
How the simulation works
Every simulation starts from the official table. Each remaining match is decided at random with the win, draw and loss probabilities of the forecast model; ratings then move as they would after a real result. Ties on points are split by goal difference. League specific tie-breakers such as head-to-head records are not modelled. Methodology
Last updated · Data: football-data.org